Week 0347 gamesUpdated Sep 28, 2026
NFL power ratings after week 3, 2026
Three ways to rank the same 32 teams. Sort by any column; the rows slide into their new order so the disagreements between systems are easy to spot.
WEEK 03
| Team | Next · win prob | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Seattle Seahawks2-1 · vs LAC | 1681 | 1.32 | +7.0 | −18 | |
| 02 | Buffalo Bills3-0 · vs NE | 1653 | 1.06 | +4.8 | +7 | |
| 03 | San Francisco 49ers3-0 · vs DEN | 1617 | 1.28 | +8.9 | +7 | |
| 04 | Minnesota Vikings3-0 · vs MIA | 1611 | 1.48 | +5.9 | +15 | |
| 05 | Denver Broncos2-1 · at SF | 1602 | 1.43 | +3.4 | +13 | |
| 06 | Jacksonville Jaguars2-1 · at CIN | 1599 | 1.16 | +10.4 | +31 | |
| 07 | Los Angeles Rams1-2 · at PHI | 1578 | 0.90 | +2.9 | −13 | |
| 08 | New England Patriots1-2 · at BUF | 1577 | 1.00 | +1.9 | −31 | |
| 09 | Philadelphia Eagles2-0 · at CHI | 1574 | 0.57 | -0.2 | 0 | |
| 10 | Kansas City Chiefs3-0 · at LV | 1558 | 1.35 | +5.9 | +23 | |
| 11 | Detroit Lions2-1 · at CAR | 1556 | 1.09 | +0.3 | +8 | |
| 12 | Baltimore Ravens2-1 · vs TEN | 1551 | 1.35 | +2.7 | +11 | |
| 13 | Chicago Bears1-1 · vs PHI | 1537 | 1.00 | +5.8 | 0 | |
| 14 | Houston Texans0-3 · vs DAL | 1534 | 0.88 | -1.9 | −13 | |
| 15 | Cincinnati Bengals2-1 · vs JAX | 1527 | 0.93 | +1.8 | −12 | |
| 16 | Pittsburgh Steelers2-1 · at CLE | 1521 | 0.77 | -1.6 | +12 | |
| 17 | Green Bay Packers1-2 · at TB | 1471 | 0.52 | -7.3 | −49 | |
| 18 | Atlanta Falcons1-2 · at NO | 1461 | 0.47 | -5.2 | +49 | |
| 19 | Dallas Cowboys1-2 · at HOU | 1456 | 1.14 | -0.4 | −11 | |
| 20 | Las Vegas Raiders3-0 · vs KC | 1453 | 1.19 | +1.8 | +31 | |
| 21 | Washington Commanders1-2 · vs IND | 1453 | 1.10 | -2.7 | +18 | |
| 22 | Cleveland Browns2-1 · vs PIT | 1448 | 0.59 | -3.3 | +12 | |
| 23 | Indianapolis Colts1-2 · vs WAS | 1447 | 1.25 | -3.1 | +13 | |
| 24 | Carolina Panthers1-2 · vs DET | 1443 | 0.51 | -1.0 | −12 | |
| 25 | New Orleans Saints1-2 · vs ATL | 1442 | 1.54 | -0.4 | −31 | |
| 26 | New York Giants2-1 · vs ARI | 1441 | 0.80 | -4.3 | +9 | |
| 27 | Los Angeles Chargers0-3 · at SEA | 1440 | 0.90 | -5.4 | −7 | |
| 28 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers0-3 · vs GB | 1430 | 1.05 | -2.9 | −15 | |
| 29 | Arizona Cardinals1-2 · at NYG | 1416 | 1.43 | -3.2 | −7 | |
| 30 | Miami Dolphins0-3 · at MIN | 1396 | 0.71 | -7.3 | −22 | |
| 31 | New York Jets1-2 · at CHI | 1376 | 0.64 | -4.7 | −8 | |
| 32 | Tennessee Titans0-3 · at BAL | 1311 | 0.60 | -8.7 | −9 |
01Seahawks1681
- Record
- 2-1
- Wk chg
- −18
- Markov
- 1.32
- Massey
- +7.0
- Next
- vs LAC · 85%
02Bills1653
- Record
- 3-0
- Wk chg
- +7
- Markov
- 1.06
- Massey
- +4.8
- Next
- vs NE · 69%
0349ers1617
- Record
- 3-0
- Wk chg
- +7
- Markov
- 1.28
- Massey
- +8.9
- Next
- vs DEN · 61%
04Vikings1611
- Record
- 3-0
- Wk chg
- +15
- Markov
- 1.48
- Massey
- +5.9
- Next
- vs MIA · 83%
05Broncos1602
- Record
- 2-1
- Wk chg
- +13
- Markov
- 1.43
- Massey
- +3.4
- Next
- at SF · 39%
06Jaguars1599
- Record
- 2-1
- Wk chg
- +31
- Markov
- 1.16
- Massey
- +10.4
- Next
- at CIN · 51%
07Rams1578
- Record
- 1-2
- Wk chg
- −13
- Markov
- 0.90
- Massey
- +2.9
- Next
- at PHI · 41%
08Patriots1577
- Record
- 1-2
- Wk chg
- −31
- Markov
- 1.00
- Massey
- +1.9
- Next
- at BUF · 31%
09Eagles1574
- Record
- 2-0
- Wk chg
- 0
- Markov
- 0.57
- Massey
- -0.2
- Next
- at CHI · 46%
10Chiefs1558
- Record
- 3-0
- Wk chg
- +23
- Markov
- 1.35
- Massey
- +5.9
- Next
- at LV · 56%
11Lions1556
- Record
- 2-1
- Wk chg
- +8
- Markov
- 1.09
- Massey
- +0.3
- Next
- at CAR · 57%
12Ravens1551
- Record
- 2-1
- Wk chg
- +11
- Markov
- 1.35
- Massey
- +2.7
- Next
- vs TEN · 85%
13Bears1537
- Record
- 1-1
- Wk chg
- 0
- Markov
- 1.00
- Massey
- +5.8
- Next
- vs PHI · 54%
14Texans1534
- Record
- 0-3
- Wk chg
- −13
- Markov
- 0.88
- Massey
- -1.9
- Next
- vs DAL · 70%
15Bengals1527
- Record
- 2-1
- Wk chg
- −12
- Markov
- 0.93
- Massey
- +1.8
- Next
- vs JAX · 49%
16Steelers1521
- Record
- 2-1
- Wk chg
- +12
- Markov
- 0.77
- Massey
- -1.6
- Next
- at CLE · 51%
17Packers1471
- Record
- 1-2
- Wk chg
- −49
- Markov
- 0.52
- Massey
- -7.3
- Next
- at TB · 47%
18Falcons1461
- Record
- 1-2
- Wk chg
- +49
- Markov
- 0.47
- Massey
- -5.2
- Next
- at NO · 44%
19Cowboys1456
- Record
- 1-2
- Wk chg
- −11
- Markov
- 1.14
- Massey
- -0.4
- Next
- at HOU · 30%
20Raiders1453
- Record
- 3-0
- Wk chg
- +31
- Markov
- 1.19
- Massey
- +1.8
- Next
- vs KC · 44%
21Commanders1453
- Record
- 1-2
- Wk chg
- +18
- Markov
- 1.10
- Massey
- -2.7
- Next
- vs IND · 51%
22Browns1448
- Record
- 2-1
- Wk chg
- +12
- Markov
- 0.59
- Massey
- -3.3
- Next
- vs PIT · 49%
23Colts1447
- Record
- 1-2
- Wk chg
- +13
- Markov
- 1.25
- Massey
- -3.1
- Next
- vs WAS · 49%
24Panthers1443
- Record
- 1-2
- Wk chg
- −12
- Markov
- 0.51
- Massey
- -1.0
- Next
- vs DET · 43%
25Saints1442
- Record
- 1-2
- Wk chg
- −31
- Markov
- 1.54
- Massey
- -0.4
- Next
- vs ATL · 56%
26Giants1441
- Record
- 2-1
- Wk chg
- +9
- Markov
- 0.80
- Massey
- -4.3
- Next
- vs ARI · 63%
27Chargers1440
- Record
- 0-3
- Wk chg
- −7
- Markov
- 0.90
- Massey
- -5.4
- Next
- at SEA · 15%
28Buccaneers1430
- Record
- 0-3
- Wk chg
- −15
- Markov
- 1.05
- Massey
- -2.9
- Next
- vs GB · 53%
29Cardinals1416
- Record
- 1-2
- Wk chg
- −7
- Markov
- 1.43
- Massey
- -3.2
- Next
- at NYG · 37%
30Dolphins1396
- Record
- 0-3
- Wk chg
- −22
- Markov
- 0.71
- Massey
- -7.3
- Next
- at MIN · 17%
31Jets1376
- Record
- 1-2
- Wk chg
- −8
- Markov
- 0.64
- Massey
- -4.7
- Next
- at CHI · 22%
32Titans1311
- Record
- 0-3
- Wk chg
- −9
- Markov
- 0.60
- Massey
- -8.7
- Next
- at BAL · 15%
Elo: K 20, home field 65 points, margin multiplier, one third regression to 1505 between seasons. Markov: share of a damped random walk from losers to winners, 1.00 = league average. Massey: points better than an average team on a neutral field, season to date.
Trace
Elo through the season
Pick up to four teams. Every line starts from the preseason rating, one third of the way back to 1505 from where the team finished last year.
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