A new name leads the board: Seattle Seahawks at 1684, 53 points above Buffalo Bills.
The biggest gain of the week belongs to Arizona Cardinals (+43), the biggest drop to Los Angeles Chargers (-43). That moves the Cardinals up 4 places to 25th.
The upset of the week by pregame Elo: Arizona Cardinals beat Los Angeles Chargers 26–14 with a pregame win probability of 24 percent, a swing of 43 rating points.
Elo and the Markov chain disagree most about Jacksonville Jaguars: 6th by Elo, 28th by the Markov chain. Elo carries last season forward; the Markov rating only sees 2026 results and rewards wins over teams that win.
16 teams are still unbeaten: Seattle Seahawks, Buffalo Bills, San Francisco 49ers, Jacksonville Jaguars, Baltimore Ravens, Minnesota Vikings, Philadelphia Eagles, Detroit Lions, Chicago Bears, Kansas City Chiefs, Pittsburgh Steelers, Cincinnati Bengals, New York Giants, Arizona Cardinals, New York Jets and Las Vegas Raiders.
16 teams are still looking for a first win: New England Patriots, Houston Texans, Los Angeles Rams, Denver Broncos, Green Bay Packers, Los Angeles Chargers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Atlanta Falcons, Washington Commanders, Indianapolis Colts, Dallas Cowboys, New Orleans Saints, Miami Dolphins, Cleveland Browns, Carolina Panthers and Tennessee Titans.
Week 1 results against the pregame ratings
| Game | Score | Pregame home win prob | Elo swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE at SEA | 10–13 | 69% | +8.0 SEA |
| SF at LA | 27–7 | 57% | -35.5 LA |
| CHI at CAR | 59–37 | 45% | -27.9 CAR |
| TB at CIN | 27–33 | 59% | +15.4 CIN |
| NO at DET | 30–31 | 74% | +3.3 DET |
| BUF at HOU | 36–31 | 59% | -21.9 HOU |
| BAL at IND | 41–23 | 48% | -28.4 IND |
| CLE at JAX | 10–34 | 77% | +13.5 JAX |
| ATL at PIT | 13–20 | 64% | +14.2 PIT |
| NYJ at TEN | 23–10 | 59% | -31.8 TEN |
| ARI at LAC | 26–14 | 76% | -42.9 LAC |
| MIA at LV | 13–27 | 44% | +31.2 LV |
| GB at MIN | 22–39 | 62% | +20.9 MIN |
| WAS at PHI | 22–24 | 72% | +5.8 PHI |
| DAL at NYG | 20–28 | 54% | +19.8 NYG |
| DEN at KC | 10–31 | 43% | +36.3 KC |
All 32 teams after week 1
| Rk | Team | Record | Elo | Chg | Markov (rank) | Massey |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seattle Seahawks | 1-0 | 1684 | +8 | 1.17 (7th) | +6.4 |
| 2 | Buffalo Bills | 1-0 | 1631 | +22 | 1.17 (13th) | +5.9 |
| 3 | San Francisco 49ers | 1-0 | 1599 | +36 | 1.17 (3rd) | +7.8 |
| 4 | New England Patriots | 0-1 | 1591 | −8 | 1.17 (20th) | +4.2 |
| 5 | Houston Texans | 0-1 | 1588 | −22 | 1.17 (4th) | +2.5 |
| 6 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 1-0 | 1585 | +14 | 0.33 (28th) | +6.8 |
| 7 | Los Angeles Rams | 0-1 | 1577 | −35 | 1.17 (25th) | -1.2 |
| 8 | Baltimore Ravens | 1-0 | 1575 | +28 | 1.17 (18th) | +5.8 |
| 9 | Minnesota Vikings | 1-0 | 1573 | +21 | 1.17 (10th) | +5.5 |
| 10 | Denver Broncos | 0-1 | 1572 | −36 | 0.18 (32nd) | -1.9 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Eagles | 1-0 | 1565 | +6 | 1.17 (21st) | +1.3 |
| 12 | Detroit Lions | 1-0 | 1562 | +3 | 1.17 (24th) | +0.8 |
| 13 | Chicago Bears | 1-0 | 1560 | +28 | 0.33 (27th) | +6.0 |
| 14 | Kansas City Chiefs | 1-0 | 1528 | +36 | 0.33 (29th) | +5.5 |
| 15 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 1-0 | 1526 | +14 | 1.17 (1st) | +1.2 |
| 16 | Green Bay Packers | 0-1 | 1508 | −21 | 1.17 (14th) | -2.6 |
| 17 | Cincinnati Bengals | 1-0 | 1498 | +15 | 1.17 (26th) | +0.2 |
| 18 | Los Angeles Chargers | 0-1 | 1488 | −43 | 1.17 (5th) | -3.8 |
| 19 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 0-1 | 1467 | −15 | 1.17 (2nd) | -2.0 |
| 20 | Atlanta Falcons | 0-1 | 1461 | −14 | 1.17 (22nd) | -2.1 |
| 21 | Washington Commanders | 0-1 | 1459 | −6 | 1.17 (8th) | -0.7 |
| 22 | New York Giants | 1-0 | 1447 | +20 | 1.17 (6th) | -1.2 |
| 23 | Indianapolis Colts | 0-1 | 1442 | −28 | 1.17 (9th) | -5.5 |
| 24 | Dallas Cowboys | 0-1 | 1442 | −20 | 1.17 (23rd) | -3.7 |
| 25 | Arizona Cardinals | 1-0 | 1438 | +43 | 1.17 (17th) | +0.4 |
| 26 | New Orleans Saints | 0-1 | 1438 | −3 | 1.17 (11th) | -1.2 |
| 27 | Miami Dolphins | 0-1 | 1430 | −31 | 1.17 (15th) | -5.9 |
| 28 | Cleveland Browns | 0-1 | 1413 | −13 | 0.18 (31st) | -7.3 |
| 29 | Carolina Panthers | 0-1 | 1405 | −28 | 0.18 (30th) | -7.8 |
| 30 | New York Jets | 1-0 | 1396 | +32 | 1.17 (16th) | -2.0 |
| 31 | Las Vegas Raiders | 1-0 | 1382 | +31 | 1.17 (19th) | -2.0 |
| 32 | Tennessee Titans | 0-1 | 1328 | −32 | 1.17 (12th) | -9.4 |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the best NFL team after week 1 of 2026?
By Elo, the Seattle Seahawks at 1684, 53 points ahead of the Buffalo Bills. By the Markov chain, which only counts 2026 results, the leader is the Seattle Seahawks.
Which team gained the most rating in week 1?
The Arizona Cardinals, up 43 Elo points to 1438. Elo moves most when a result is unexpected and the margin is large, which is why upsets and blowouts dominate the weekly movers.
How many NFL teams are unbeaten after week 1?
16 teams are unbeaten after week 1 of the 2026 season. Records and all three ratings for every team are in the table on this page.
How are these NFL power ratings calculated?
Elo uses K = 20, 65 points of home field and a margin multiplier, with one third regression to 1505 between seasons. Massey fits this season’s margins by least squares; the Markov chain follows a random walk from losers to winners. The methodology page lists every constant.
Ratings use the constants on the methodology page. The current board always shows the latest week.